A probability, not a verdict. Yes and No always sum to 100, and there is no margin built in for the house.
These terms were fixed when the take opened and are never edited afterwards. The question you read here is the question that gets answered.
Market consensus on: Will Shwetha Menon's AMMA presidency face a major internal revolt by mid-September?
A take is one question about a real event, with a Yes side and a No side. The percentage is what everyone playing has collectively been willing to commit Stars to — the crowd's probability estimate, not ours.
Stars are free. They cannot be bought, transferred or withdrawn as money. Making a prediction costs nothing and requires no deposit.
Settlement is against a named source. After the deadline, the take is checked automatically. Clear evidence settles it; thin or contradictory evidence goes to a person. Nothing is decided on the basis of which side is cheaper for us.
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