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Standup & ComedyPredictions close in 22h

Will the Season 5 premiere of 'The Great Indian Kapil Show' feature a Bollywood A-lister as the main guest?

Crowd prediction0 responses
80% YES20% NO

A probability, not a verdict. Yes and No always sum to 100, and there is no margin built in for the house.

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How this one is decided

These terms were fixed when the take opened and are never edited afterwards. The question you read here is the question that gets answered.

Settles at final market price based on the guest lineup of the first episode of Season 5 on Netflix. An 'A-lister' is widely accepted top-tier Bollywood talent (e.g., SRK, Salman, Deepika, Ranbir).

Resolves YES if
The premiere episode features a top-tier Bollywood actor.
Resolves NO if
The premiere features sports stars, TV personalities, or mid-tier actors.
Voids if
Season 5 does not air.
Predictions close
6 Sept 2026, 6:30 pm IST
Answer due
6 Sept 2026, 8:30 pm IST
Checking
Checked daily after the deadline.
Category
Standup & Comedy · Standup & Comedy

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A take is one question about a real event, with a Yes side and a No side. The percentage is what everyone playing has collectively been willing to commit Stars to — the crowd's probability estimate, not ours.

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Settlement is against a named source. After the deadline, the take is checked automatically. Clear evidence settles it; thin or contradictory evidence goes to a person. Nothing is decided on the basis of which side is cheaper for us.

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